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Head-to-Head

Alessandra Mazzola vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
Level
ITF W35
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
Clay
Date & time
October 9 ยท 4:00 AM ET

Book odds

Matilde Paoletti1.471.43
Alessandra Mazzola2.492.61

Set spread

Paoletti -1.52.04
Mazzola +1.51.67

Game spread

Paoletti -41.89
Mazzola +41.75
PaolettiClay-court specialist (100%)MazzolaClay-court specialist (87%)

Alessandra Mazzola and Matilde Paoletti meet in the quarterfinals of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 9, with both players arriving on clay after matches played just a day prior. Mazzola, ranked 390, has won her last two matches and sits at 4-1 over her past five. Paoletti is ranked 728 and is also on a two-match streak, posting a 4-1 record in her last five and a 7-3 run over ten matches.

Their only prior meeting went to Paoletti, who defeated Mazzola in a head-to-head record that now stands 1-0. The two have faced similar recent opponents; Paoletti defeated Alice Rame, Alice Tubello, Camilla Gennaro, and Diletta Cherubini in matches where Mazzola lost to those same players. Mazzola did defeat Gabriela Ce in that same window, a rare bright spot in an otherwise difficult stretch against common foes.

Mazzola plays an aggressive game centered on sustained pressure and baseline exchanges. Paoletti operates as a counterpuncher, thriving on reading opponents and converting mistakes into offensive opportunities. On clay, Paoletti has posted a 60% win rate over recent play, while Mazzola sits at 45%. The match will test whether Mazzola can impose her intensity and sustain it long enough, or whether Paoletti's reactive approach and current hot run prove more durable over a full quarterfinal distance.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorMazzolaPaoletti
Wins in straight sets72%64%
Wins a set when losing58%50%
Goes to a deciding set40%41%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite42%47%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog74%67%
Tiebreak sets won69%33%
Wins after taking set 184%75%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 168%56%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mazzola

โš”๏ธ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter
vs

Paoletti

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

โš”๏ธ The Gladiator vs ๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,923 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Mazzola and Paoletti have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeMazzolaPaoletti
1 or more9%33%
3 or more0%0%
5 or more0%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricMazzolaPaoletti
W-L6โ€“712โ€“5
Avg odds2.251.57
ROI %+9.2%-2.5%
Units P/L+1.20u-0.42u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMazzolaPaoletti
Countries33
Events33
Matches67
Distanceโ€”โ€”
RouteITA โ†’ ESP โ†’ MNEROU โ†’ GER โ†’ MNE

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Mazzola has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paoletti's 60%).

OpponentMazzolaPaoletti
Francesca Gandolfi
W
63
64
W
63
63
Maria Toma
W
61
16
61
W
76
63
Diletta Cherubini
L
16
26
W
61
60
Gabriela Ce
W
62
60
L
16
57
Sofia Rocchetti
W
61
64
L
62
16
03

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mazzola
WWLWWLLL
W

Beatrise Zeltina

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 2nd Round

63
26
63

Oct 8

W

Sofia Shapatava

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 1st Round

Oct 7

L

Loes Ebeling Koning

W50 Plovdiv ยท Quarterfinals

16
16

Sep 25

W

Dunja Maric

W50 Plovdiv ยท 2nd Round

62
62

Sep 24

W

Rositsa Dencheva

W50 Plovdiv ยท 1st Round

61
46
765

Sep 23

L

Beatrise Zeltina

W50 Pazardzhik ยท 1st Round

26
46

Sep 14

L

Federica Trevisan

W35 Trieste ยท 1st Round

57
16

Aug 24

L

Teodora Miron

W35 Bistrita ยท 2nd Round

46
647

Aug 20

Paoletti
WWLWWLWW
W

Eva Bennemann

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 2nd Round

75
62

Oct 8

W

Francesca Gandolfi

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 1st Round

63
63

Oct 7

L

Alisa Oktiabreva

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท Quarterfinals

36
46

Sep 18

W

Daria Yesypchuk

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 2nd Round

57
63
64

Sep 17

W

Maria Toma

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 1st Round

764
63

Sep 16

L

Marianne Argyrokastriti

W35 Reus ยท Quarterfinals

36
36

Sep 11

W

Diletta Cherubini

W35 Reus ยท 2nd Round

61
60

Sep 10

W

Sophie Greiner

W35 Reus ยท 1st Round

36
75
63

Sep 8

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 22โ€“60 matches

MetricMazzolaPaoletti
Matches won60%64%
Sets won60%60%
Games won53%57%