Alessandra Mazzola vs Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Alessandra Mazzola
#386 · 26 yrs
41 meeting · sets 0–2
🇩🇪Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
#283 · 22 yrs
5TitleAlessandra Mazzola and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur have met 1 time since 2026; Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mazzola has taken 0 sets to Steur's 2. Their most recent meeting: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur won at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mazzola | Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alessandra Mazzola | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 87% | 47/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 14/25 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/62 | 21% | 16/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 15/21 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 33/39 | 93% | 53/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 26/39 | 82% | 47/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mazzola 0, Lilly Sophie Steur 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mazzola
⚔️ The Gladiator
Steur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 10, 2026
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mazzola | Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alessandra Mazzola | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| 1 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 37% | 10/27 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +19.1% | -7.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.48u | -1.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 12 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → ESP → MNE | DEN → BIH → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Steur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Mazzola's 33%).
| Opponent | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Dunja Maric | W 62 62 | W 61 63 |
| Dalila Spiteri | L 67 36 | W 61 76 |
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | L 75 26 26 | W 60 61 |
| Unknown Player | W 62 61 | W 76 61 |
| Camilla Gennaro | L 61 26 26 | W 61 61 |
| Deborah Chiesa | L 26 26 | L 26 63 46 |
| Federica Urgesi | L 46 63 16 | L 76 16 410 |
| Samira De Stefano | L 26 76 46 | L 06 26 |
| Diana Marcinkevica | W 67 61 75 | L 46 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Matilde Paoletti
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Beatrise Zeltina
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sofia Shapatava
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Plovdiv · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Dunja Maric
W50 Plovdiv · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rositsa Dencheva
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round
Sep 23
Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round
Sep 14
Lisa Zaar
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Maria Andrienko
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clara Burel
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–76 matches
| Metric | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 71% |
| Sets won | 59% | 70% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mazzola | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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