Alec Beckley vs Axel NefvePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alec Beckley and Axel Nefve have met 2 times since 2026; Alec Beckley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Kigali in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Beckley leads 2–0. Beckley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Beckley has taken 4 sets to Nefve's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alec Beckley won at M25 Kigali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Beckley | Nefve | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alec Beckley | Axel Nefve | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 23/36 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/56 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 22/41 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 4/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 31/36 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 23/36 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Beckley 1, Nefve 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Beckley
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nefve
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Axel Nefve.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2026
M25 Kigali
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2026
M25 Kigali
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Beckley | Nefve | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alec Beckley | Axel Nefve | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Beckley | Nefve |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -33.1% | +6.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Beckley and Nefve posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Beckley | Nefve |
|---|---|---|
| Milosz Szczypka | W 61 61 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Houkes
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yshai Oliel
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Axel Nefve
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Houkes
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Niklas Grunewald
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Axel Nefve
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Sep 30
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Nerman Fatic
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Alexander Petrov
M25 East Lansing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Fredrik Krogh Solheim
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Cruz Hewitt
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–56 matches
| Metric | Beckley | Nefve |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 43% |
| Sets won | 60% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Beckley | Nefve |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Beckley | Nefve |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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