Alafia Ayeni vs Li TuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alafia Ayeni and Li Tu have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ayeni has taken 3 sets to Tu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alafia Ayeni won at San Diego 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ayeni | Tu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alafia Ayeni | Li Tu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 14/22 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 74% | 17/23 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ayeni 1, Tu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ayeni
💥 Big Hitter
Tu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
San Diego 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 5, 2024
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ayeni | Tu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alafia Ayeni | Li Tu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -25.4% | -44.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.80u | -2.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ayeni has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tu's 60%).
| Opponent | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 62 75 | W 75 76 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 76 76 | L 46 57 |
| Keegan Smith | W 26 63 63 | W 36 75 76 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 76 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Unknown Player | W 61 64 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Evan Zhu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Li Tu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Carl Emil Overbeck
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Tiago Cacao
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nicolas Oliveira
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Alafia Ayeni
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–57 matches
| Metric | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 54% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ayeni | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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