Alafia Ayeni vs Carl Emil OverbeckPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alafia Ayeni and Carl Emil Overbeck have met 1 time since 2026; Alafia Ayeni leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ayeni has taken 2 sets to Overbeck's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alafia Ayeni won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ayeni | Emil Overbeck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alafia Ayeni | Carl Emil Overbeck | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 75% | 43/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 24% | 19/78 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 14/22 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 74% | 17/23 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 93% | 50/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 80% | 43/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ayeni 1, Emil Overbeck 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ayeni
💥 Big Hitter
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alafia Ayeni.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 7, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ayeni | Overbeck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alafia Ayeni | Carl Emil Overbeck | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.29 |
| ROI % | -25.4% | -12.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.80u | -0.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ayeni's 60%).
| Opponent | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Li Tu | W 63 76 | L 57 67 |
| Tiago Cacao | L 67 16 | W 63 57 61 |
| Ivan Ivanov | L 36 46 | W 60 76 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 26 61 61 | W 63 63 |
| Jake Delaney | W 76 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Evan Zhu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Li Tu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Carl Emil Overbeck
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Tiago Cacao
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ryan Peniston
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–78 matches
| Metric | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 73% |
| Sets won | 56% | 68% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ayeni | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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