Akira Santillan vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตAkira Santillan
#324 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ท๐บYaroslav Demin
#653 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
Akira Santillan and Yaroslav Demin have met 1 time since 2026; Akira Santillan leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 2 sets to Demin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Akira Santillan won at Wuning 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 40/52 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 22/84 | 32% | 20/62 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 31/48 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 45/48 | 92% | 35/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 40/48 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 1, Demin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Demin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
Wuning 3 Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ10 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -21.0% | -36.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -4.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 1,078 mi ยท 1,735 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Demin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Santillan's 50%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Max Hans Rehberg | L 67 36 | W 75 36 76 |
| Maties Torres Ramis | W 64 63 | W 62 46 108 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yaroslav Demin
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Luca Castelnuovo
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaigaoge Kang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Yaojie Zeng
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Beibit Zhukayev
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Hanyi Liu
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jack Loge
M25 Casablanca ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Niklas Schell
M25 Casablanca ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yassine Smiej
M25 Casablanca ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Tristan McCormick
M25 Oviedo ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 62โ87 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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