Akira Santillan vs Mert AlkayaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Akira Santillan and Mert Alkaya have met 1 time since 2026; Mert Alkaya leads 1–0. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 0 sets to Alkaya's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mert Alkaya won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Mert Alkaya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 43/54 | 78% | 47/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 6/27 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 17/81 | 31% | 27/88 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 35/51 | 68% | 41/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 90% | 52/58 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 43/49 | 81% | 47/58 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 0, Alkaya 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
💥 Big Hitter
Alkaya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Mert Alkaya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–10 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -39.4% | -31.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.31u | -5.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km |
| Route | TUR → TPE | TUR → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alkaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Santillan's 25%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Pavlovic | L 67 36 | L 16 26 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 36 46 | L 67 64 46 |
| Denis Yevseyev | W 46 61 61 | W 67 61 63 |
| Alexander Donski | L 57 57 | W 67 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sanhui Shin
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Digvijaypratap Singh
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mert Alkaya
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Alastair Gray
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Izan Almazan Valiente
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Beibit Zhukayev
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidharth Rawat
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Saba Purtseladze
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Colin Sinclair
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Akira Santillan
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 84–88 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 68% |
| Sets won | 63% | 66% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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