Akira Santillan vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Akira Santillan and Luka Pavlovic have met 2 times since 2026; Luka Pavlovic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brasov Challenger in 2026 on clay. Pavlovic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 0 sets to Pavlovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Luka Pavlovic won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 40/52 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 22/84 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 31/48 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 45/48 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 40/48 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 0, Pavlovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
💥 Big Hitter
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2026
Brasov Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -27.1% | -13.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.60u | -2.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,078 mi · 1,735 km | 2,414 mi · 3,885 km |
| Route | CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Santillan's 0%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Mert Alkaya | L 26 26 | W 61 62 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | L 36 00 | W 36 61 62 |
| Mark Lajal | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yaroslav Demin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Luca Castelnuovo
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaigaoge Kang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Yaojie Zeng
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Kangyuan Shi
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Thomas Fancutt
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Akira Santillan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–87 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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