Akira Santillan vs Alastair GrayPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตAkira Santillan
#324 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ฌ๐งAlastair Gray
#292 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4wAkira Santillan and Alastair Gray have met 1 time since 2026; Akira Santillan leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 2 sets to Gray's 1. Their most recent meeting: Akira Santillan won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Gray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Alastair Gray | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 40/52 | 77% | 33/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 22/84 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 31/48 | 55% | 28/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 45/48 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 40/48 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 0, Gray 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Gray
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Akira Santillan.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Gray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Alastair Gray | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ10 | 1โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -21.0% | -78.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -4.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 1,078 mi ยท 1,735 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Santillan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Gray's 57%).
| Opponent | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Castelnuovo | W 63 36 76 | W |
| Maximus Jones | W 76 64 | L 26 57 |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | W 76 26 62 | L 67 26 |
| Xiaofei Wang | W 63 60 | W 62 63 |
| Kuan Yi Lee | W 62 00 | W 62 63 |
| Enzo Aguiard | L 57 36 | W 62 61 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 63 16 36 | L 61 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yaroslav Demin
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Luca Castelnuovo
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaigaoge Kang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Yaojie Zeng
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Patrick Maloney
Tiburon Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Maximus Jones
Manacor Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
George Loffhagen
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Adrian Boitan
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Emile Hudd
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Akira Santillan
Segovia Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Izan Almazan Valiente
Pozoblanco Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Clement Chidekh
Nottingham 3 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 67โ87 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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