Aidan McHugh vs Matteo MesaglioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan McHugh and Matteo Mesaglio have met 1 time since 2026; Aidan McHugh leads 1–0. Across all meetings McHugh has taken 2 sets to Mesaglio's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aidan McHugh won at M25 Pozzuoli (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McHugh | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan McHugh | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 6/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 12/33 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 14/22 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McHugh 1, Mesaglio 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McHugh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mesaglio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Aidan McHugh and Matteo Mesaglio are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 10, 2026
M25 Pozzuoli
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McHugh | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan McHugh | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McHugh | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–1 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +24.9% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.49u | -2.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McHugh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mesaglio's 50%).
| Opponent | McHugh | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Riu | W 60 62 | W 62 62 |
| Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | W 61 36 63 | L 46 60 310 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Martin Riu
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Samir Banerjee
M25 Nevers · Final
Sep 20
Alexandre Reco
M25 Nevers · Semifinals
Sep 19
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M25 Nevers · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Valentin Lapalu
M25 Nevers · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli · Semifinals
Sep 12
Daniele Minighini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Davide Ciaschetti
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Patric Prinoth
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Massimo Junior Del Carmine
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Davide Ciaschetti
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–33 matches
| Metric | McHugh | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 40% |
| Sets won | 69% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McHugh | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McHugh | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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