Aidan McHugh vs Leonardo RossiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan McHugh and Leonardo Rossi have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Pozzuoli in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings McHugh has taken 2 sets to Rossi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Aidan McHugh won at M25 Nevers (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McHugh | Rossi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan McHugh | Leonardo Rossi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 73% | 44/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 6/9 | 18% | 7/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 12/33 | 23% | 23/98 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 14/22 | 63% | 38/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 93% | 51/55 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 80% | 44/55 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McHugh 1, Rossi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McHugh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rossi
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Leonardo Rossi.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 18, 2026
M25 Nevers
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 12, 2026
M25 Pozzuoli
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McHugh | Rossi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan McHugh | Leonardo Rossi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–1 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +24.9% | -7.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.49u | -1.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both McHugh and Rossi posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Riu | W 60 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Martin Riu
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Samir Banerjee
M25 Nevers · Final
Sep 20
Alexandre Reco
M25 Nevers · Semifinals
Sep 19
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M25 Nevers · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Valentin Lapalu
M25 Nevers · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Aidan McHugh
M25 Nevers · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Mathys Domenc
M25 Nevers · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Liam Branger
M25 Nevers · 1st Round
Sep 16
Melios Efstathiou
M25 Pozzuoli · Final
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · Semifinals
Sep 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–98 matches
| Metric | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 69% | 58% |
| Games won | 57% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McHugh | Rossi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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