Aidan McHugh vs Erik ArutiunianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan McHugh and Erik Arutiunian have met 1 time since 2025; Aidan McHugh leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with McHugh leading those 1–0. Across all meetings McHugh has taken 2 sets to Arutiunian's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aidan McHugh won at M25 East Lansing 1 (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Fort Worth Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 19 · 1:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.88 or longer, Erik Arutiunian has won 6 of 13 (46%). The price implied 41%, so Erik Arutiunian has beaten it by 5 points.
At 1.83 or shorter, Aidan McHugh has won 24 of 42 (57%). That is level with the 57% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Aidan McHugh and Erik Arutiunian meet next at the Fort Worth Challenger on October 19 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McHugh | Arutiunian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan McHugh | Erik Arutiunian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 7% | 1/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 12/35 | 17% | 7/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 22/24 | 100% | 25/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 88% | 22/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McHugh 1, Arutiunian 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McHugh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arutiunian
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Erik Arutiunian.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 9, 2025
M25 East Lansing 1
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McHugh | Arutiunian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan McHugh | Erik Arutiunian | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–2 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +15.3% | +20.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.84u | +2.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both McHugh and Arutiunian posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Riu | W 60 62 | W 63 75 |
| Jeremy Zhang | W 67 63 75 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joshua Sheehy
Fort Worth Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Karl Poling
M25 Austin · 1st Round
Oct 13
Christian Djonov
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Martin Riu
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Samir Banerjee
M25 Nevers · Final
Sep 20
Alexandre Reco
M25 Nevers · Semifinals
Sep 19
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M25 Nevers · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Spencer Johnson
Fort Worth Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Darian King
M15 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 14
Trevor Svajda
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Andrew Fenty
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Luca Staeheli
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Braden Shick
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Spencer Johnson
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Nicholas Godsick
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–42 matches
| Metric | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 67% |
| Sets won | 68% | 63% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McHugh | Arutiunian |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |