Adrien Gobat vs Arthur NagelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrien Gobat and Arthur Nagel have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne 1 in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Gobat has taken 2 sets to Nagel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Adrien Gobat won at M15 Lannion 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gobat | Nagel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrien Gobat | Arthur Nagel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 12/16 | 67% | 44/66 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 3/10 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 7/26 | 37% | 36/97 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 7/12 | 53% | 32/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 83% | 55/66 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 44/66 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gobat 1, Nagel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gobat
🏹 Frontrunner
Nagel
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrien Gobat.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
M15 Lannion 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 23, 2026
M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gobat | Nagel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrien Gobat | Arthur Nagel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 15–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.42 |
| ROI % | +35.1% | -17.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.46u | -3.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Gobat's 67%).
| Opponent | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| Axel Garcian | W 76 67 62 | W 75 63 |
| Daniel Jade | W 63 75 | L 26 26 |
| Timeo Trufelli | W 76 46 64 | W 75 62 |
| Daniel Masur | L 46 46 | W 67 63 63 |
| Tim Handel | W 75 63 | W 63 76 |
| Matthew William Donald | L 67 67 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jelle Sels
M15 Rodez · Final
Oct 11
Axel Garcian
M15 Rodez · Semifinals
Oct 10
Daniel Jade
M15 Rodez · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Timeo Trufelli
M15 Rodez · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Calvin Mueller
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 6
Daniel Masur
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 9
Florian Broska
Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 22
Loann Massard
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Flynn Thomas
M15 Forbach · Semifinals
Sep 26
Timeo Trufelli
M15 Forbach · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Paul Theate
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Dugardin
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Francesco Maestrelli
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maximilian Figl
M25 Rabat · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yassine Dlimi
M25 Casablanca · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–98 matches
| Metric | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 68% |
| Sets won | 59% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gobat | Nagel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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