Adrian Oetzbach vs Lilian MarmousezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชAdrian Oetzbach
#631 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ4
๐ซ๐ทLilian Marmousez
#507 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
11wAdrian Oetzbach and Lilian Marmousez have met 2 times since 2025; Lilian Marmousez leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at M15 Frankfurt 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Marmousez leads 2โ0. Marmousez has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Marmousez leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Oetzbach has taken 2 sets to Marmousez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lilian Marmousez won at M25 Louny (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Oetzbach | Marmousez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Oetzbach | Lilian Marmousez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 25/35 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 8/33 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 18/68 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Oetzbach 0, Marmousez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Oetzbach
๐ช Counterpuncher
Marmousez
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2026
M25 Louny
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
M15 Frankfurt 1
C Clay ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19โ8 | 3โ1 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | +27.3% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | +7.37u | -0.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | GER | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Oetzbach and Marmousez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Oleksii Krutykh | W 64 75 | L 46 16 |
| Leo Raquillet | L 26 62 26 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tim Handel
M25 Ueberlingen ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Manuel Plunger
M25 Ueberlingen ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thiago Cigarran
M15 Trier ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Markus Malaszszak
M15 Trier ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
David Fix
M15 Frankfurt ยท 2nd Round
Aug 7
Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Frankfurt ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Aljaz Jeran
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Samobor ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Ceska Lipa ยท 2nd Round
Jun 11
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Ceska Lipa ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Taro Daniel
Kosice Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Guido Ivan Justo
Kosice Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 25
Filip Cristian Jianu
M25 Louny ยท Final
May 17
Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Louny ยท Semifinals
May 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 29โ68 matches
| Metric | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 69% |
| Sets won | 51% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Oetzbach | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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