Adrian Mannarino vs Yuichi SugitaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Yuichi Sugita have met 4 times since 2017; Adrian Mannarino leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Mannarino leads 2–0. Mannarino has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 9 sets to Sugita's 2. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Nur-Sultan (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Sugita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Yuichi Sugita | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 3, Sugita 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Sugita
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2020
Nur-Sultan
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 6, 2017
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Apr 2, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sugita |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sugita |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 6
Luciano Darderi
Acapulco · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 25
Emilio Nava
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Norbert Gombos
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Colin Sinclair
Yokkaichi · Round of 16
Nov 24
Rio Noguchi
Yokkaichi · Round of 32
Nov 21
Beibit Zhukayev
Kobe · Round of 32
Nov 15
Nam Hoang Ly
Matsuyama · Round of 32
Nov 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Sugita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Sugita |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Sugita |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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