Adrian Mannarino vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Yannick Hanfmann have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca in 2023 on grass. On hard courts Hanfmann leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 5 sets to Hanfmann's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yannick Hanfmann won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 2, Hanfmann 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 25, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 1, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2023
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hanfmann has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Mannarino's 13%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 26 63 61 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | L 46 26 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | L 46 26 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 76 61 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | W 76 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 67 67 | L 16 57 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | L 46 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Benjamin Bonzi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–70 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 61% |
| Sets won | 37% | 57% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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