Adrian Mannarino vs Valentin RoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#67 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
41 meeting ยท sets 3โ1

๐ซ๐ทValentin Royer
#74 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
5TitleAdrian Mannarino and Valentin Royer have met 1 time since 2025; Adrian Mannarino leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Royer's 1. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Valentin Royer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฏ Baseliner
Royer
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 2, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Valentin Royer | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 11โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -0.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 2,244 mi ยท 3,611 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA โ JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Royer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 64 62 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 46 | L 67 26 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 46 67 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 76 46 62 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 64 76 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | W 63 75 |
| Billy Harris | L 46 76 46 | W 76 64 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | L 46 36 | W 75 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท Final
Aug 23
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 21
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Tyler Zink
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Pablo Carreno Busta
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ71 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 51% |
| Sets won | 37% | 50% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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