Adrian Mannarino vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Taro Daniel have met 3 times since 2016; Taro Daniel leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 0 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Daniel 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 24, 2022
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +12.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Mannarino's 0%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 64 61 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 64 46 63 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | L 46 26 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 36 76 26 |
| Billy Harris | L 46 76 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–56 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 63% |
| Sets won | 37% | 60% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.