Adrian Mannarino vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Taro Daniel have met 3 times since 2016; Taro Daniel leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 0 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Daniel 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 24, 2022
Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 6 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mannarino's 0%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 64 61 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 64 46 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 36 76 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–61 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 66% |
| Sets won | 38% | 62% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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