Adrian Mannarino vs Sumit NagalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
41 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฎ๐ณSumit Nagal
#253 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5Adrian Mannarino and Sumit Nagal have met 1 time since 2025; Sumit Nagal leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 0 sets to Nagal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sumit Nagal won at Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Sumit Nagal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 40% | 20/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Nagal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Nagal
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 5, 2025
Auckland
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Sumit Nagal | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 4โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -40.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -4.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 4 | โ |
| Matches | 10 | โ |
| Distance | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km | โ |
| Route | FRA โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nagal's 0%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | L 36 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 75 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Luka Mikrut
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Soon Woo Kwon
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Hyeon Chung
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jan Kumstat
Prague Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Eduardo Ribeiro
Prague Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Max Houkes
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 50โ54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 44% |
| Sets won | 38% | 48% |
| Games won | 46% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.