Adrian Mannarino vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Roman Safiullin have met 3 times since 2021; Adrian Mannarino leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Kremlin Cup - Moscow in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3–0. Mannarino has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Safiullin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 91% | 20/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 68% | 15/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Safiullin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 19, 2023
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +13.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +2.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,107 mi · 1,781 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Safiullin's 33%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 36 63 67 | L 46 76 67 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 62 46 64 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 76 63 | L 76 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stan Wawrinka
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Sebastian Ofner
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Jerome Kym
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 69% |
| Sets won | 37% | 61% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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