Adrian Mannarino vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
43 meetings ยท sets 6โ2

๐ท๐บRoman Safiullin
#79 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
Adrian Mannarino and Roman Safiullin have met 3 times since 2021; Adrian Mannarino leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Kremlin Cup - Moscow in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3โ0. Mannarino has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Safiullin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Almaty Open - Almaty (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Safiullin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Safiullin
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Roman Safiullin are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 19, 2023
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 9โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -1.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km |
| Route | FRA โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Safiullin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mannarino's 60%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | W 63 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | W 75 63 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 36 63 67 | W 63 60 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 62 46 64 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 76 63 | L 76 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ55 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 69% |
| Sets won | 38% | 61% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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