Adrian Mannarino vs Milos RaonicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Milos Raonic have met 4 times since 2016; Milos Raonic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Raonic leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Raonic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Raonic's 7. Their most recent meeting: Milos Raonic won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Raonic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Milos Raonic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Raonic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Raonic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 6, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 3, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 9, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
May 25, 2016
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Raonic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Raonic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Taylor Fritz
London / Queen's Club · Round of 16
Jun 19
Cameron Norrie
London / Queen's Club · Round of 32
Jun 17
Alex de Minaur
's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 14
Roberto Bautista Agut
's-Hertogenbosch · Round of 16
Jun 13
Jordan Thompson
's-Hertogenbosch · Round of 32
Jun 11
Sumit Nagal
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells · Round of 128
Mar 7
Alexander Bublik
Rotterdam · Round of 16
Feb 14
Jesper de Jong
Rotterdam · Round of 32
Feb 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Raonic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Raonic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Raonic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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