Adrian Mannarino vs Juan Carlos AguilarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇫🇷Adrian Mannarino
#83 · 38 yrs · L
41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇦Juan Carlos Aguilar
#1403 · 27 yrs · R
34wAdrian Mannarino and Juan Carlos Aguilar have met 1 time since 2025; Adrian Mannarino leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Aguilar's 0. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at ATP Masters 1000 Canada (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Carlos Aguilar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Juan Carlos Aguilar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Carlos Aguilar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Aguilar
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | - |
| ROI % | +20.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Andres Martin
Metepec Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Thiago Cigarran
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Christoph Negritu
Temuco Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 25
Juan Pablo Varillas
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 18
Tomas Martinez
Guayaquil · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 17
Ignacio Carou
Guayaquil · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Louis Wessels
Drummondville Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 36% |
| Sets won | 38% | 38% |
| Games won | 46% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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