Adrian Mannarino vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#67 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
45 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐ต๐ฑHubert Hurkacz
#46 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4TitleAdrian Mannarino and Hubert Hurkacz have met 5 times since 2021; Hubert Hurkacz leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 3โ2. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 5 sets to Hurkacz's 6. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at United Cup - Australia (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Hurkacz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฏ Baseliner
Hurkacz
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Nov 1, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 11โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,959 mi ยท 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA โ MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Hurkacz posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 46 76 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 46 64 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 46 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | L 76 67 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | W 46 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | L 46 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 67 76 63 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 62 | L 76 67 57 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 57% |
| Sets won | 37% | 57% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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