Adrian Mannarino vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
45 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐ต๐ฑHubert Hurkacz
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
3Adrian Mannarino and Hubert Hurkacz have met 5 times since 2021; Hubert Hurkacz leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 3โ2. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 5 sets to Hurkacz's 6. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at United Cup - Australia (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Hurkacz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Hurkacz
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Nov 1, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 18โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km | 1,611 mi ยท 2,592 km |
| Route | FRA โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L |
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | W 76 67 62 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 57 63 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 76 36 26 | W 67 63 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | L 76 67 57 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 36 75 67 57 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 64 46 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ55 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 64% |
| Sets won | 38% | 60% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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