Adrian Boitan vs Sebastian GimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Slobozia
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 3.35 or longer, Sebastian Gima has won 4 of 24 (17%). The price implied 24%, so Sebastian Gima has fallen 7 points short of it.
At 1.29 or shorter, Adrian Boitan has won 15 of 24 (63%). The price implied 81%, so Adrian Boitan has fallen 18 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Adrian Boitan meets Sebastian Gima in the M25 Slobozia final on clay on October 4. Boitan, ranked 508, arrives as the lower seed, while Gima sits at 580. Both players have reached the final after intense runs through the draw, each playing five matches in the past two weeks.
Gima leads their head-to-head 1-0 from a prior meeting. Both men have shown similar momentum heading into the final. Boitan has won four straight and taken 4 of his last 5 matches; Gima has won four straight and taken 4 of his last 5. Over a longer sample, Gima has won 8 of his last 10 on clay, while Boitan has won 7 of 10. Gima's recent clay record stands at 65%, Boitan's at 60%.
Boitan is a well-rounded player who can construct points from the baseline and adapt his game as needed. Gima thrives on clay through relentless ball-striking and physical tenacity, winning 13 of 22 clay matches in the sample period. The final will test whether Boitan's all-court approach can manage Gima's sustained aggression on a surface that rewards consistency and wear.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boitan | Gima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Boitan | Sebastian Gima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 66% | 29/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 11/21 | 26% | 9/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 30% | 24/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 47% | 21/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 92% | 35/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 76% | 29/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boitan
👑 The Complete Package
Gima
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 722 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Boitan.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Boitan and Gima have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boitan | Gima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Boitan | Sebastian Gima | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 12/19 | 20% | 4/20 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boitan | Gima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | +18.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +3.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boitan | Gima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,151 mi · 1,853 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | TUR → FRA | BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Boitan and Gima posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Boitan | Gima |
|---|---|---|
| Radu David Turcanu | W 36 64 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Vlad Cristian Breazu | W 61 64 | W 75 60 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | L 46 76 36 | W 64 62 |
| Dan Alexandru Tomescu | L | L 36 26 |
| Cezar Gabriel Papoe | W 75 64 | W 60 46 76 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 64 76 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Borys Zgola
M25 Slobozia · Semifinals
Oct 3
Florian Broska
M25 Slobozia · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Cezar Stefan Bentzel
M25 Slobozia · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Vlad Cristian Breazu
M25 Slobozia · 1st Round
Sep 30
Vadym Ursu
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Harold Mayot
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ergi Kirkin
Istanbul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Radu David Turcanu
M25 Slobozia · Semifinals
Oct 3
Jannik Opitz
M25 Slobozia · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Slobozia · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slobozia · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jonas Forejtek
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Filip Misolic
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Aleksandar Tolev
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Denys Klok
M25 Zlatibor · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–79 matches
| Metric | Boitan | Gima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |