Adrian Boitan vs Ergi KirkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Istanbul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.58 or shorter, Adrian Boitan has won 12 of 17 (71%). The price implied 67%, so Adrian Boitan has beaten it by 4 points.
At 2.27 or longer, Ergi Kirkin has won 20 of 74 (27%). The price implied 34%, so Ergi Kirkin has fallen 7 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Adrian Boitan and Ergi Kirkin meet next at the Istanbul Challenger on September 7 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boitan | Kirkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Boitan | Ergi Kirkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 18/50 | 26% | 18/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 62% | 28/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 7/9 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 82% | 32/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boitan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kirkin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Boitan and Ergi Kirkin are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,238 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Boitan and Kirkin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boitan | Kirkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Boitan | Ergi Kirkin | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boitan | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 13–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.01u | -3.80u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boitan | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 838 mi · 1,348 km | — |
| Route | GBR → ESP | GER → BUL → TUR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boitan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kirkin's 0%).
| Opponent | Boitan | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Ziya Ayberk Aydin | W 61 60 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ziya Ayberk Aydin
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Mark Lajal
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Lui Maxted
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alastair Gray
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Christian Langmo
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Keshav Chopra
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Giorgio Tabacco
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Togan Tokac
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Mika Brunold
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
David Eichenseher
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Andrej Nedic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Zeballos
Hamburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–70 matches
| Metric | Boitan | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |