Adam Farag Cao vs Muhammad ShoaibPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Farag Cao and Muhammad Shoaib have met 2 times since 2026; Muhammad Shoaib leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Islamabad in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Shoaib leads 2–0. Shoaib has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cao has taken 0 sets to Shoaib's 1. Their most recent meeting: Muhammad Shoaib won at M15 Islamabad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Farag Cao | Shoaib | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Farag Cao | Muhammad Shoaib | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 5/10 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 11/26 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 4/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 78% | 7/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cao
⚙️ Grinder
Shoaib
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Muhammad Shoaib.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
M15 Islamabad
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 7, 2026
M15 Islamabad
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cao | Shoaib |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.52 |
| ROI % | - | -49.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shoaib has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cao's 0%).
| Opponent | Cao | Shoaib |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L | W 36 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cameron Muller
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Alejandro Moreno
M25 Louisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Rahul Sachdev
M25 Louisville · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Alexander Brown
M25 Laval · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Hanlei Lu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Seongwoo Cho
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Unknown Player
M15 Luan · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 25
Nuriddin Bakhtiyorov
M15 Luan · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Oscar Brown
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ahmed Darmoul
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 9
Sean Grosman
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 16
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Sean Grosman
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jonah Braswell
M25 Wichita · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Islamabad · Final
May 10
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Islamabad · Semifinals
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–27 matches
| Metric | Cao | Shoaib |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 69% |
| Sets won | 41% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cao | Shoaib |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cao | Shoaib |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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