Adam Farag Cao vs Alejandro MorenoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Farag Cao and Alejandro Moreno have met 1 time since 2026; Alejandro Moreno leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cao has taken 0 sets to Moreno's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moreno won at M25 Louisville (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Farag Cao | Moreno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Farag Cao | Alejandro Moreno | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 5/10 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 11/26 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 4/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 60% | 3/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Farag Cao 0, Moreno 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cao
⚙️ Grinder
Moreno
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 31 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
M25 Louisville
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cao | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.91 |
| ROI % | - | -61.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moreno has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cao's 0%).
| Opponent | Cao | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cameron Muller
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Alejandro Moreno
M25 Louisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Rahul Sachdev
M25 Louisville · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Alexander Brown
M25 Laval · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Hanlei Lu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Seongwoo Cho
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Unknown Player
M15 Luan · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 25
Nuriddin Bakhtiyorov
M15 Luan · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Hugo Coquelin
M15 Ann Arbor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Warren Gunnar
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Nicholas Mekhael
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Jon Gamble
M25 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Christian Cuellar
M25 Southaven · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Marko Miladinovic
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 23
Ethan Muza
M25 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–27 matches
| Metric | Cao | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 33% |
| Sets won | 41% | 43% |
| Games won | 47% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cao | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cao | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.