Aaron Bailey vs Nathan PonwithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aaron Bailey and Nathan Ponwith have met 1 time since 2026; Aaron Bailey leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bailey has taken 2 sets to Ponwith's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aaron Bailey won at M25 Las Vegas 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bailey | Ponwith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aaron Bailey | Nathan Ponwith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 1/8 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 33% | 1/3 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 43% | 3/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bailey 0, Ponwith 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
M25 Las Vegas 1
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailey | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.06 |
| ROI % | - | +10.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Bailey and Ponwith posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Bailey | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| James Wellington Iv | W 61 60 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Reece Falck
M15 Los Angeles · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Marko Mesarovic
Futures 2026
Jun 1
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round Qualifying
May 25
Marko Mesarovic
Futures 2026
May 25
Andrew Johnson
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 1st Round
Mar 25
Joshua Peck
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 24
Nathan Ponwith
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
David Bakonyi
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hiroki Sakagawa
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Aaron Bailey
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Branko Djuric
M25 Bakersfield 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 19
Jacob Brumm
M25 Bakersfield 1 · 1st Round
Mar 18
Stefan Kozlov
Arizona Tennis Classic · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Victor Braga
M15 San Jose 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–17 matches
| Metric | Bailey | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 41% |
| Sets won | 24% | 41% |
| Games won | 36% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bailey | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bailey | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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