ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Gwangju Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimizu
⚙️ Grinder
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,925 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for August Holmgren here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimizu | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.28u | -3.54u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
0
Shimizu
1
Holmgren
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shimizu | Holmgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Holmgren has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Shimizu's 29%).
| Opponent | Shimizu | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Jie Cui | W 26 60 64 | W 76 76 |
| Renta Tokuda | W 76 16 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 16 26 | W 76 57 62 |
| Marek Gengel | L 63 16 46 | W 63 64 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L 67 46 | L 67 63 67 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 36 16 | W 62 63 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 36 | L 67 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shimizu | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.4% | 66.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.6% | 75% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.9% | 57.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 70.4% | 47.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.5% | 28% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.1% | 51.8% |
| BP Converted % | 29.7% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.7 | 25.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.8 | 32 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.1% | 68.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.6% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Sho Shimabukuro
Gwangju Open · Round of 16
Apr 23
Taro Daniel
Gwangju Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Jake Delaney
Gwangju Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Marat Sharipov
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Ben Jones
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Alexis Galarneau
Gwangju Open · Round of 16
Apr 23
Yunchaokete Bu
Gwangju Open · Round of 32
Apr 21
Liam Broady
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Alexis Galarneau
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 16
Apr 16
Kasidit Samrej
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Matchup overview
Yuta Shimizu and August Holmgren face off in the Quarterfinals at Gwangju Open on Hard.
Yuta Shimizu leads 0-1 over 1 previous meeting.
Yuta Shimizu is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Sho Shimabukuro (Apr 23).
August Holmgren is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexis Galarneau (Apr 23).
Model consensus currently favors August Holmgren with 66.9% confidence.
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