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ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Royan Atlantique Open

Yanki ErelvsRyo Tabata

June 15, 2026C Clay

Model Prediction

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Erel	Tabata
W-L	2–1	1–3
Avg odds	1.55	2.30
ROI %	-1.0%	-66.0%
Units P/L	-0.03u	-2.64u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

First career meeting

Erel and Tabata have never faced each other on tour.

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Erel	Tabata
Serve
1st Serve In %	62.2%	57.8%
1st Serve Pts Won %	70.9%	62.9%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	49.2%	46.1%
Aces / Match	7	7.3
Double Faults / Match	2	3.8
Break Points Saved %	38.1%	50.7%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	28.1%	34.4%
2nd Return Pts Won %	49.2%	39.7%
BP Converted %	39.4%	43.6%
Rally
Winners / Match	22.3	33
Unforced Errors / Match	40.7	43.3
Net Pts Won %	59.9%	69.7%
Total Pts Won %	49.2%	46%
Surface (Clay)
Clay Win %	0%	100%

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Erel

WLWWL

Blaise Bicknell

Cote d'Ivoire Open 1 · Round of 16

Apr 23

Hamish Stewart

Cote d'Ivoire Open 1 · Quarterfinals

7⁷6⁵

7⁹6⁷

Apr 18

Mukund Sasikumar

Cote d'Ivoire Open 1 · Round of 32

7⁷6⁵

Apr 11

Niels McDonald

Fujairah Open · 1st Round Qualifying

Mar 2

Mattia Bellucci

Bahrain Open Tennis Challenger · Round of 32

Jan 28

Tabata

WLLLL

Robinson Le Meur

Royan Atlantique Open · 1st Round Qualifying

Jun 14

Yusuke Takahashi

WUNING OPEN 2 · 1st Round Qualifying

Apr 12

Uisung Park

WUNING OPEN 1 · 1st Round Qualifying

6⁵7⁷

Apr 6

Tai Sach

Koyushokucho Miyazaki Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6⁷7⁹

Mar 30

Alec Deckers

Yokkaichi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Mar 2