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ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup

Matteo MartineauvsLuca Wiedenmann

June 15, 2026C Clay

Model Prediction

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Martineau	Wiedenmann
W-L	4–6	1–1
Avg odds	1.91	1.53
ROI %	-40.0%	-46.0%
Units P/L	-4.00u	-0.92u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

First career meeting

Martineau and Wiedenmann have never faced each other on tour.

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Martineau	Wiedenmann
Serve
1st Serve In %	64.5%	47.5%
1st Serve Pts Won %	67.6%	64.4%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	49.3%	48.8%
Aces / Match	4	3
Double Faults / Match	4	2
Break Points Saved %	56.2%	60%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	31.9%	24.7%
2nd Return Pts Won %	51.7%	37.9%
BP Converted %	35.7%	7.2%
Rally
Winners / Match	32.8	17
Unforced Errors / Match	43.5	21.5
Net Pts Won %	62.3%	55%
Total Pts Won %	49.9%	43.5%
Surface (Clay)
Clay Win %	17%	50%

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Martineau

WLWWL

Mickael Kaouk

Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32

6⁴7⁷

Jun 10

Tristan Boyer

Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 16

Jun 10

Maxime Janvier

Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 2nd Round Qualifying

Jun 8

Mae Malige

Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying

Jun 7

Sander Jong

Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying

7⁷6²

7⁷6³

Jun 1

Wiedenmann

LWLLW

Peter Fajta

Kosice Open 2026 · 2nd Round Qualifying

May 25

Dominik Macej

Kosice Open 2026 · 1st Round Qualifying

May 24

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Augsburg · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 17

Robert Strombachs

Dobrich 2 · 2nd Round Qualifying

Sep 9

Amaury Raynel

Dobrich 2 · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 8