ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Lajovic
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 574 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Sonego here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.23 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -13.3% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.40u | -4.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Sonego
2
Lajovic
May 9, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 128
Oct 16, 2023
Stockholm
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 28, 2020
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 13, 2020
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 15, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Sonego and Lajovic posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Sonego | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 62 36 16 | L 06 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 76 | W 64 76 |
| Carlos Taberner | W 64 60 63 | L 67 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 62 76 | W 60 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 61 46 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.6% | 67.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.8% | 69.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.1% | 44.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 69.5% | 56.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.6% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 39.5% | 29.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26 | 26.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.3% | 62.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.9% | 49.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Pedro Martinez
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Lorenzo Musetti
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 21
Carlos Taberner
Australian Open · Round of 128
Jan 20
Juncheng Shang
Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open · Round of 16
Jan 8
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Dusan Lajovic face off in the Round of 128 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Lorenzo Sonego leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Sonego is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (Apr 16).
Dusan Lajovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Max Houkes (Apr 15).
Model consensus currently favors Lorenzo Sonego with 58.2% confidence.
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