ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Darderi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,634 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luciano Darderi here.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -7.3% | -2.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.80u | -0.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Cerundolo
3
Darderi
Feb 17, 2026
Rio Open presented by Claro
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 29, 2024
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 17, 2024
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 13, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 5, 2023
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 16
May 25, 2022
Vicenza
C Clay · Round of 16
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 40%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 46 | L 62 46 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 57 | L 26 57 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 64 | W 64 36 63 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 63 | W 75 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 67 64 | W 76 75 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 64 63 | W 63 36 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 36 57 | W 63 36 64 |
| Cristian Garin | L 63 36 36 | W 76 75 76 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 16 | W 76 63 |
| Jordan Thompson | L 76 57 16 16 | L 46 46 63 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.3% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 67% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.4% | 46.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.7% | 46.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.5% | 23.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.2% | 49.3% |
| BP Converted % | 52.2% | 32.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.1 | 21.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.7 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73% | 69.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 46.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 59% | 64% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Brandon Nakashima
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jesper de Jong
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Giulio Zeppieri
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Vit Kopriva
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 15
Zhizhen Zhang
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Hubert Hurkacz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Marco Trungelliti
Grand Prix Hassan II · Semifinals
Apr 4
Mattia Bellucci
Grand Prix Hassan II · Round of 16
Apr 1
Matchup overview
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Daniel Altmaier (Apr 23).
Luciano Darderi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Vit Kopriva (Apr 15).
Model consensus currently favors Juan Manuel Cerundolo with 55.3% confidence.
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