ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,632 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Joao Fonseca plays Marin Cilic.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -4.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | -0.56u |
First career meeting
Fonseca and Cilic have never faced each other on tour.
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Fonseca's 44%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | W 67 60 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 26 75 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 26 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | W 63 64 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 57 | L 67 67 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 57 64 63 | W 64 63 62 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 75 | W 63 36 62 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 75 67 67 | L 46 46 76 67 |
| Jack Draper | L 26 46 26 | W 64 63 16 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fonseca | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.3% | 60.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.4% | 79.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.2% | 47.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 10.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.7% | 69.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.1% | 23.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 52.9% |
| BP Converted % | 37.7% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 24.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.6% | 65.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Arthur Rinderknech
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 15
Alejandro Tabilo
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Alexander Zverev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Zizou Bergs
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Daniel Altmaier
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Alexander Shevchenko
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Alexander Zverev
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Matchup overview
Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic are meeting for the first time in our records.
Joao Fonseca is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ben Shelton (Apr 17).
Marin Cilic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zizou Bergs (Apr 22).
Model consensus currently favors Joao Fonseca with 64.1% confidence.
Get $25 free
New accounts only. Create a Kalshi account and predict match outcomes.
Claim offerShare this match
