ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Michelsen
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,440 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jan-Lennard Struff plays Alex Michelsen.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | -73.7% | +5.9% |
| Units P/L | -6.63u | +0.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
First career meeting
Struff and Michelsen have never faced each other on tour.
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Struff's 30%).
| Opponent | Struff | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | L 76 46 46 | W 67 76 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 46 76 63 | L 64 46 36 75 36 |
| Mariano Navone | L 76 26 46 | W 26 62 75 |
| Beibit Zhukayev | W 67 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 46 57 | L 57 46 |
| Holger Rune | W 76 26 63 46 75 | L 67 36 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 36 63 36 | L 36 26 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 57 | L 26 63 36 63 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 63 46 36 | W 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Struff | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.4% | 66.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 79.3% | 74.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.9% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 9 | 8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 70.7% | 70.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.7% | 50.8% |
| BP Converted % | 49.4% | 36.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.2 | 24.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.2 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 82.3% | 71% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.2% | 50.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Muller
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Darwin Blanch
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 19
James Duckworth
Arizona Tennis Classic · Round of 32
Mar 10
Zizou Bergs
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 4
Arthur Rinderknech
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 13
Alexei Popyrin
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Coleman Wong
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Jannik Sinner
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 24
Alejandro Tabilo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Matchup overview
Jan-Lennard Struff and Alex Michelsen face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Jan-Lennard Struff and Alex Michelsen are meeting for the first time in our records.
Jan-Lennard Struff is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandre Muller (Apr 22).
Alex Michelsen is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Rinderknech (Apr 13).
Model consensus currently favors Jan-Lennard Struff with 54.7% confidence.
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