Andre IlaganvsYuta Shimizu

June 5, 2026H Hard

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Ilagan

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Shimizu

🛡️ The Spoiler

Strong court coverageStrong retrievalDefensive consistencyBeats elite opponents

Matchup analysis

The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,327 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andre Ilagan here.

Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Ilagan	Shimizu
W-L	8–6	9–5
Avg odds	2.21	1.91
ROI %	-9.9%	+17.4%
Units P/L	-1.38u	+2.43u

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting

Ilagan

Shimizu

Apr 1, 2026

Koyushokucho Miyazaki Challenger

H Hard · Round of 32

Ilagan

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Shimizu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Ilagan's 57%).

Opponent	Ilagan	Shimizu
Murphy Cassone	W 16 62 63	W 67 76 76
Fajing Sun	W 63 76	W 57 64 64
Dane Sweeny	L 36 76 46	W 75 75
Andres Martin	L 67 63 57	W 76 76
Jake Delaney	W 64 67 76	W 62 76
Martin Damm	L 67 57	L 67 46
Moerani Bouzige	W 57 64 61	W 64 63

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Ilagan	Shimizu
Serve
1st Serve In %	63%	60.1%
1st Serve Pts Won %	72.4%	67.5%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	50.5%	49.3%
Aces / Match	5.1	3.9
Double Faults / Match	2.9	3
Break Points Saved %	69.8%	63.2%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	31%	29%
2nd Return Pts Won %	53.9%	43.6%
BP Converted %	40.7%	32.2%
Rally
Winners / Match	21.3	20.7
Unforced Errors / Match	31.2	35.5
Net Pts Won %	60.6%	69.3%
Total Pts Won %	52%	47.5%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	63%	60%