ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,588 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alexander Bublik plays Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -2.03u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
0
Bublik
2
Tsitsipas
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | L 57 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | W 63 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 63 64 | W 36 64 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 64 06 64 | L 36 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 46 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 76 64 | W 75 63 64 |
| Tomas Machac | W 76 63 | L 46 63 67 67 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 67 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | L 57 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 62.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 74.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 9.8 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.8% | 73.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.3% | 24.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44% | 45.7% |
| BP Converted % | 29.7% | 28.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.8 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 23.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.2% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Jiri Lehecka
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Gael Monfils
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Matteo Berrettini
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Patrick Kypson
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Fabian Marozsan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Francisco Cerundolo
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Arthur Fils
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 22
Alex de Minaur
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Matchup overview
Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Alexander Bublik leads 0-2 over 2 previous meetings.
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex Molcan (Apr 14).
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Patrick Kypson (Apr 23).
Model consensus currently favors Alexander Bublik with 56.6% confidence.
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