ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · HSBC Championships
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 669 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -6.3% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.14u | -4.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Minaur
1
Nakashima
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 60%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 46 06 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 76 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 62 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 63 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 76 62 | L 26 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 76 62 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 26 62 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | W 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.7% | 73.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.8% | 41.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.3% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.4 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.9 | 26.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.4% | 70.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.4% | 51.2% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 75% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Quarterfinals at HSBC Championships on Grass.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Adrian Mannarino (Jun 13).
Brandon Nakashima is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Ignacio Buse (Jun 12).
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